Patterns in mortality associated with heart failure and lung cancer among older adults in the United States: An analysis of 20 years
Abdul Ahad 1, Eeshal Fatima 2, Wania Sultan 3, Muhammad Haleem Nasar 4, Adeena Jamil 5, Muteia Shakoor 5, Irfan Ullah 6 7, M Chadi Alraies 8, Naeif Almagal 9
Affiliations Expand
- PMID: 39760128
- PMCID: PMC11697840
- DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcrp.2024.200353
Abstract
Background: Despite an established association between heart failure (HF) and lung cancer (LC), there is limited evidence available regarding mortality patterns among the older (≥65 years) population in the United States.
Methods: The mortality data, spanning 1999 to 2019, was surveyed using the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER) database with HF and LC identified as underlying or contributing causes of death. Crude and age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) were calculated per 100,000 individuals. Joinpoint regression was applied to establish annual percent changes (APCs) for the trends in years, demographics (sex, race), and geographical regions.
Results: Between 1999 and 2019, the overall AAMR slightly decreased from 13.0 to 11.4. However, the AAMRs significantly increased (APC: 6.37; 95 % CI: 3.39 to 8.23) from 2017 to 2019. Males had double the AAMRs compared to females (overall AAMR: 15.7 vs. 8.0), yet both sexes experienced a final incline in death rates. Among the distinct racial and ethnic groups, non-Hispanic (NH) Whites (11.9) and NH Black/African Americans (10.9) portrayed the highest AAMRs. Patients most commonly died in medical facilities (41.03 %). Geographical disparities were evident with higher AAMRs in non-metropolitan areas (14.3) and the Midwest (12.7). States with the highest fatality involved West Virginia, Oklahoma, Kentucky, Mississippi, and Arkansas.
Conclusion: The abrupt rise in overall mortality rates for HF and LC from 2017 to 2019 is noteworthy. A focused analysis of demographic and geographic disparities is warranted to address this emerging trend.
Keywords: CDC WONDER; Heart failure; Lung cancer; Mortality; Older adults; Trends.
© 2024 Published by Elsevier B.V.
Figures





Similar articles
- Trends in Heart Failure-Related Mortality Among Older Adults in the United States From 1999-2019.Siddiqi TJ, Khan Minhas AM, Greene SJ, Van Spall HGC, Khan SS, Pandey A, Mentz RJ, Fonarow GC, Butler J, Khan MS.JACC Heart Fail. 2022 Nov;10(11):851-859. doi: 10.1016/j.jchf.2022.06.012. Epub 2022 Sep 7.PMID: 36328654
- Trends and regional variations in chronic ischemic heart disease and lung cancer-related mortality among American adults: Insights from retrospective CDC wonder analysis.Ali E, Ur Rahman HA, Kamal UH, Ali Fahim MA, Salman M, Salman A, Khan HN, Yasmin F, Alkhas C, Shaik AA, Asghar MS, Alraies MC.Int J Cardiol Cardiovasc Risk Prev. 2025 Feb 14;24:200377. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcrp.2025.200377. eCollection 2025 Mar.PMID: 40034236Free PMC article.
- Investigating sex, race, and geographic disparities in bronchus and lung cancer mortality in the United States: a comprehensive longitudinal study (1999-2020) utilizing CDC WONDER data.Alim Ur Rahman H, Ahmed Ali Fahim M, Salman A, Kumar S, Raja A, Raja S, Advani D, Devendar R, Khanal A.Ann Med Surg (Lond). 2024 Aug 7;86(9):5361-5369. doi: 10.1097/MS9.0000000000002387. eCollection 2024 Sep.PMID: 39238989Free PMC article.Review.
- Temporal trends in hypertension related end stage renal disease mortality rates: an analysis of gender, race/ethnicity, and geographic disparities in the United States.Raja A, Raja S, Amin SB, Salman M, Azeem B, Kumar L.Front Nephrol. 2024 Jan 15;3:1339312. doi: 10.3389/fneph.2023.1339312. eCollection 2023.PMID: 38288382Free PMC article.
- The hidden epidemic: Hypertension-related mortality surges amongst younger adults in the United States.Siddiqi AK, Ali KM, Maniya MT, Rashid AM, Khatri SA, Garcia M, Quintana RA, Naeem M.Curr Probl Cardiol. 2024 Dec;49(12):102842. doi: 10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2024.102842. Epub 2024 Sep 12.PMID: 39270766Review.
Cited by
- Trends and differences in cardiovascular disease and alzheimer’s disease-related mortality among older adults in the United States, 1999 to 2023: A CDC WONDER database analysis.Wen J, Hu J, Zou G.Am Heart J Plus. 2025 Sep 17;59:100618. doi: 10.1016/j.ahjo.2025.100618. eCollection 2025 Nov.PMID: 41035497Free PMC article.
- When the heart and lungs fail together: A wake-up call for aging populations in the Philippines and beyond.Lacsa JEM.Int J Cardiol Cardiovasc Risk Prev. 2025 Jun 6;26:200450. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcrp.2025.200450. eCollection 2025 Sep.PMID: 40534776Free PMC article.No abstract available.
- Implications for global health of heart failure and lung cancer mortality trends in aging populations.Toledo JPC.Int J Cardiol Cardiovasc Risk Prev. 2025 Feb 3;24:200373. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcrp.2025.200373. eCollection 2025 Mar.PMID: 40007581Free PMC article.No abstract available.
References
- FastStats. 2024. https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/leading-causes-of-death.htm
- Heron M., Anderson R.N. NCHS Data Brief; 2016. Changes in the Leading Cause of Death: Recent Patterns in Heart Disease and Cancer Mortality; pp. 1–8. – PubMed
- Common Cancer Sites — Cancer Stat Facts, (n.d.). https://seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/html/common.html (accessed June 30, 2024).
- Lung Cancer Risk Factors | Smoking & Lung Cancer, (n.d.). https://www.cancer.org/cancer/types/lung-cancer/causes-risks-prevention/… (accessed November 15, 2024).